Monday, July 16, 2012

Quick Look: California Wildfires Today - Fire Weather Watch

Update: CA-SLU-Calf San Luis Obispo County, Highway 58 and Pozo Road, 5-8 miles east of the town of Santa Margarita 750 acres 10%

Update: NICC National Preparedness Level is being reduced to 3 (PL3).
Effective immediately the National Preparedness Level is being reduced to 3 (PL3). Significant demobilization of all resource types is happening in most geographical areas. Moderating conditions exist in most geographical areas, with lower temperatures and higher relative humidity. Large fire activity has been reducing daily and containment dates of existing large fires are in the near future.

    California Wildfires Location Map





    CA-SHF Flat Fire. 1710 acres, 70% contained. Steep rocky terrain and burning rolling material. Interior fire is burning above Highway 299 which is a major route for commerce, recreation, and commuters. Traffic control is in place but could be closed due to fire, smoke, and rolling debris along highway. Major recreation activity along the Trinity River corridor could be negatively affected. Transmission lines and domestic water supply in the area.

    CA-NEU Robbers Fire. 

    Update: 07/16/2012 17:20 -  Due to decreased temperature and increased humidity, fire growth was minimal today and containment is up. The fire has burned 2,600 acres, and is 45% contained. Previously 2,500 acres, 30% contained. The fire is burning in heavy brush and timber in steep terrain where travel is slow and difficult, with limited turnouts, and bridges with weight limitations. Fuels are receptive and available to burn. Fire has spotted outside of control lines on the east and north sides of the fire threatening Brushy Creek Subdivision, Haynes Mine, and Kings Hill. Additional contingency lines being constructed in the Refuge Creek Road area, and north of Iowa Hill to the east/south east back to Shirttail Canyon.

    CA-MNF Mill Fire. 

    Update: 07/16/2012 17:20 - CA-MNF Mill Fire. 29,552 acres, 75% 
    The slow predicted overnight recoveries (after midnight RH 60-80%) may create control problems at the start of the operational shift. As an enhanced diurnal wind pattern shifts to the evening, isolated gusty winds on the fire may create challenges in holding efforts. Smoke generated from firing operations will continue South after 2200 moving into the Sacramento Valley. Some impacts from smoke dispersion are to be expected in local area.

    URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE:

     MEDFORD OR 545 AM PDT MON JUL 16 2012
     A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG WARNINGS.


    WHERE: WESTERN KLAMATH NATIONAL FOREST - CENTRAL SISKIYOU COUNTY INCLUDING SHASTA VALLEY - UMPQUA BASIN - UMPQUA NATIONAL FOREST- WESTERN ROGUE BASIN INCLUDING THE ILLINOIS VALLEY - SISKIYOU MOUNTAINS - EASTERN ROGUE VALLEY - SOUTHERN OREGON CASCADES - FIRE ZONES 281. ..622. ..621. ..623. ..616. ..617. .. 280 AND 620 * 

    WHAT: SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS OVER MUCH OF THE REGION POSSIBLE TUESDAY A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE OFF OF THE OREGON COAST TUESDAY BRINGING WIDESPREAD SHOWERS TO THE WEST SIDE ALONG WITH SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS.
     WHILE THE PROBABILITY OF MULTIPLE STARTS WILL BE LOWER WITH THIS SYSTEM THE PRECIPITATION MIGHT NOT PENETRATE SOME OF THE HEAVIER CANOPIES.
      SOME STARTS DUE TO LIGHTNING ARE STILL POSSIBLE IN DRY FUELS PROTECTED BY HEAVY CANOPIES.
     SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL ALSO DEVELOP EAST OF THE CASCADES TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING BUT THE ASSOCIATED PRECIPITATION WILL BE MUCH LIGHTER. 

     SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP LATE TUESDAY MORNING INTO TUESDAY AFTERNOON. HOWEVER THE THUNDERSTORMS MAY BE ACCOMPANIED BY WIDESPREAD WETTING RAINS. 


    WHEN: FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING FOR LIGHTNING WITH INSUFFICIENT MOISTURE FOR FIRE ZONES 280. ..281. ..616. ..617. ..620. ..621. ..622 AND 623. .. 
    -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE:
     MEDFORD OR 545 AM PDT MON JUL 16 2012
    A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG WARNINGS.


    WHERE: .SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS OVER MUCH OF THE REGION POSSIBLE TUESDAY.. .A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE OFF OF THE OREGON COAST TUESDAY -  SHASTA-TRINITY NATIONAL FOREST IN SISKIYOU COUNTY - SISKIYOU COUNTY FROM THE CASCADE MOUNTAINS EAST AND SOUTH TO MT SHASTA-KLAMATH BASIN AND THE FREMONT-WINEMA NATIONAL FOREST - SOUTH CENTRAL OREGON DESERT INCLUDING THE BLM LAND IN EASTERN LAKE AND WESTERN HARNEY COUNTIES,  FIRE ZONES 624, 282, 284 AND 625.

    WHAT: BRINGING WIDESPREAD SHOWERS TO THE WEST SIDE ALONG WITH SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS. WHILE THE PROBABILITY OF MULTIPLE STARTS WILL BE LOWER WITH THIS SYSTEM THE PRECIPITATION MIGHT NOT PENETRATE SOME OF THE HEAVIER CANOPIES. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL ALSO DEVELOP EAST OF THE CASCADES TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING BUT THE ASSOCIATED PRECIPITATION WILL BE MUCH LIGHTER. 


    WHEN: FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING FOR LIGHTNING WITH INSUFFICIENT MOISTURE FOR FIRE ZONES 282. ..284. ..624 AND 625. .. * AFFECTED AREA: * THUNDERSTORMS...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. * IMPACTS...PRECIPITATION WILL OCCUR WITH THESE STORMS...BUT WETTING RAIN OUTSIDE OF THE CORE OF THE STORM IS NOT LIKELY. MULTIPLE LIGHTNING STRIKES OUTSIDE OF THE CORE OF THE STORM MAY CAUSE NUMEROUS STARTS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS.. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG WARNINGS.
    ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    July Wildland LODD's Remembered:
    July 26, 2008 - Fire Chief Daniel Packer, Panther Fire, CA
    July 25, 2008 - Andrew Palmer, Trinity County, CA
    July l 4, 2008 - Josh Speigel, Redding, CA

    July 7, 2008 - John Hermo, Willow Creek, CA
    July 3, 2008 - Robert Roland, Ukiah, CA

    July 23, 2007 - Dennis Davis, Elk Complex Fire, CA
    July 13, 2004 - Captain Daniel Elkins, Pine Incident Brush Fire, CA

    July 16, 1976 – Battlement Creek Fire
    Two air tanker pilots were killed when their aircraft went down, and the next day three hotshots were overrun and killed. (International Association of Wildland Fire, 2011)

    California Fire News 2012 
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****REMINDER**** Every fire has the ability to be catastrophic. The wildland fire management environment has profoundly changed. Growing numbers of communities, across the nation, are experiencing longer fire seasons; more frequent, bigger, and more severe, fires are a real threat. Be careful with all campfires and equipment.

"I am a firm believer in the people. If given the truth, they can be depended upon to meet any national crisis. The great point is to bring them the real facts, and beer." --Abraham Lincoln

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